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Hundreds of demonstrators have been arrested in the last 24 hours as protests decrying Israel's bombardment of Gaza continue at university campuses across the nation. The majority of demonstrations have called for the divestment from companies that support Israel and the war in Gaza. Meanwhile, at the University of Arizona, law enforcement used pepper balls and rubber bullets against protesters Wednesday, the university said in a statement. The Los Angeles Police Department has also issued a city-wide "tactical alert" related to a pro-Palestinian encampment at UCLA, a law enforcement source told CNN. University of Texas at Dallas: At least 17 arrests have been made at the campus as of Wednesday evening, school officials said.
Persons: That's, Minouche Shafik, Lowenstein, Jennifer L, Mnookin Organizations: University of California, CNN, University of Arizona, Columbia University, City College, Hamilton Hall, City College of New, University, Dartmouth College, WMUR, Fordham University, NYPD, Buffalo, Los Angeles : Police, Los Angeles Police Department, UCLA, University of New, State, New Hampshire Department of Safety, ” University of Texas, Austin Fox, University of Texas, Austin, Texas Department of Public Safety, . University of Texas, Dallas, University of Wisconsin Locations: Gaza, Israel, Los Angeles, New York, City College of New York, University of New Hampshire, Austin, Madison
“Lately, there’s been so many overdose deaths that were inadvertent. She applauded the new RAND survey for shedding light on what adults go through when they lose someone to overdose. “Those are some of the regions where we see the highest number of overdose deaths. This is also rarely discussed in scientific and policy circles,” Pollini said of the RAND survey. “Because the data come from a survey of adults, the study does not provide insight into how overdose deaths impact children.
Persons: Gail D’Onofrio, D’Onofrio, , there’s, ” D’Onofrio, , Alison Athey, Athey, Kerry Nolte, ” Nolte, Nolte, “ I’ve, I’ve, Kurt Kleinschmidt, it’s, Kleinschmidt, ” Kleinschmidt, ” Robin Pollini, , ” Pollini, Dr, Sanjay Gupta Organizations: CNN, RAND Corporation, Yale School of Medicine, Yale New Haven Hospital, RAND, University of New, East South, University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center, West Virginia University, US Centers for Disease Control, Prevention’s National Center for Health Statistics, CNN Health Locations: United States, Connecticut, University of New Hampshire, New England, East South Central, Alabama, Kentucky , Mississippi, Tennessee
PORTLAND, Maine (AP) — The state of Maine's long-cherished reputation for political independence is being threatened by the nation's polarized politics, with more and more of its voters feeling pressured to take sides. So-called independents, or unenrolled voters, have gone from the state's largest voting bloc to trailing both major parties in just four years. Republicans, too, overtook unenrolled voters two years later. As of last month, a tally of active voters indicated there were 343,488 Democratic voters, 279,936 Republican voters and 273,298 unenrolled voters. The economist served in the Maine Senate as an independent, and remains active on political issues.
Persons: Nikki Haley, Trump, Haley, , Zach Azem, — “, Sen, Angus King, Arizona’s Kyrsten, Vermont's Bernie Sanders, Jill Goldthwait, unenrolled, , , Paul LePage, Donald Trump, Mark Brewer, Brewer, they'll, State Shenna Bellows, Richard Woodbury, “ I’m, ” Woodbury, David Sharp, @David_Sharp_AP Organizations: New, New Hampshire GOP, Democratic, AP VoteCast, GOP, University of New Hampshire Survey, Republicans, Democratic Party, Republican, University of Maine, Trump, Congressional, State, Bureau of Motor Vehicles, Maine Senate Locations: PORTLAND, Maine, New Hampshire, Bar, District, Yarmouth
Many Trump supporters not only dislike DeSantis, but echo Trump's assertions that DeSantis betrayed him and say they would never consider him again. DeSantis' campaign against Trump had soured her on the governor, she said. “He backstabbed President Trump. DeSantis' allies believe the Florida governor has a clear path to another presidential bid should he want one. But he hasn’t yet offered an olive branch to angry Trump supporters.
Persons: DeSantis, , Trump, , Pamela Shinkwin, Mary Sullivan, Nikki Haley, Donald Trump, Sullivan, President Trump, Trump’s, he’ll, Joe Biden, needled Trump, Florida Sen, Marco Rubio, Little Marco, Carly Fiorina’s, Ted Cruz’s, John F, Kennedy, , Ron DeSanctimonious ”, Haley, Melissa Davis, “ DeSantis, ” Davis, What’s, Edward X . Young, diehard Trump, DeSantis “, ‘ Trump, ’ I’ll, ” Young, Jacob Morgan, Morgan, Steve Peoples, Michelle L, Price, Linley Sanders Organizations: Trump, Florida, Florida Republican, PAC, CNN, University of New, GOP, ABC, Republicans, Republican, DeSantis, Associated Press Locations: Florida, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, Manchester, Texas, University of New Hampshire, Iowa, Windsor Heights , Iowa, He’s, New Jersey, Rochester , New Hampshire, New York, Washington
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailPolitical analyst discusses the likelihood of a Trump-Biden election rematchAndrew Smith of University of New Hampshire Survey Center expects a rematch between President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump at the 2024 U.S. presidential election.
Persons: Andrew Smith of, Joe Biden, Donald Trump Organizations: Trump, Biden, Andrew Smith of University of New Hampshire Survey
Donald Trump and Nikki Haley AP, Getty ImagesThe New Hampshire primary has a pretty good track record of picking the Republican nominee. Only three times since the 1950s has the winner of the New Hampshire primary not gone on to be the Republican nominee. New Hampshire gets 22 delegates in the Republican primary process – less than 1% of the total delegates who will vote at the convention this summer. Trump is the clear front-runner and holds 50% support among likely Republican primary voters in the Granite State, according to a CNN poll conducted by the University of New Hampshire and released Sunday. Read up on everything you need to know about New Hampshire’s first-in-the-nation primary.
Persons: Donald Trump, Nikki Haley, Trump, Read Organizations: Getty, Republican, New, New Hampshire, CNN, University of New, South Carolina Gov Locations: Hampshire, New Hampshire, Granite State, University of New Hampshire, Trump’s
New York CNN —New Hampshire, the “first-in-the-nation” primary state (which will hold those elections Tuesday), has been a relatively “better-off” state than most others nationally. Median income/povertyThe typical New Hampshire household has a higher income compared to the average in the United States, and a smaller share of state’s residents are in poverty. Southeastern New Hampshire — where three-quarters of the state’s residents live — benefits from being close to the Boston metropolitan area, said Phil Sletten, research director at the left-leaning New Hampshire Fiscal Policy Institute. Some 42% of New Hampshire residents approved of Biden on the economy, with 55% disapproving, according to a November CNN/University of New Hampshire poll. But when it comes to their personal finances, New Hampshire residents are downbeat.
Persons: ’ ”, Charlie Dougherty, , ” Dougherty, “ You’ve, Patricia M, Anderson, Patrick Connelly, ” Connelly, that’s, Brian Gottlob, , Spencer Platt, Lori Harnois, Gottlob, Phil Sletten, Sletten, Joe Biden, Biden, Gina Ferazzi Organizations: New, New York CNN —, United States, of Labor Statistics, Wells, Labor, Reserve, Dartmouth University, CNN, Housing, Tax Foundation, Tourism, Census, Granite State, Survey, New Hampshire —, University of New, Commerce Department, University of New Hampshire Survey Center, Patrons, Los Angeles Times, Independents Locations: New York, New York CNN — New Hampshire, Granite, New Hampshire, Boston, , New Hampshire, “ New Hampshire, , Hampshire, Chester , New Hampshire, Manchester, Devon, Bartlett , New Hampshire, Ohio, Washington, New, Canada, Pennsylvania, United States, Granite State, University of New Hampshire, Colebrook , New Hampshire
Nikki Haley doesn’t defeat former President Donald Trump in New Hampshire’s primary on Tuesday, the fight may be over. Haley said Sunday she would “absolutely” remain in the Republican presidential race through South Carolina’s February 24 primary. Recent departures from the 2024 race have already shaped the New Hampshire Republican primary. Another 3% of likely GOP primary voters say they’d vote for someone else. For her part, Haley insisted Monday on Fox News that she’ll continue in the race, no matter the outcome of the New Hampshire primary.
Persons: CNN — It’s, Nikki Haley doesn’t, Donald Trump, Ron DeSantis, Haley, Chris Sununu, Joe Biden, That’s, , She’s, Sununu, DeSantis, Iowa’s Kim Reynolds, “ I’ve, , , “ I’m, She’ll, Montana Sen, Steve Daines, “ Donald Trump, Chris Christie, Vivek Ramaswamy’s, Trump, “ Vivek, Ron, ” Trump, Biden, Nancy Pelosi, “ Trump, Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, he’s, ” Haley, Will Haley, Chris LaCivita, Susie Wiles, LaCivita, Wiles, ” “, Marianne Williamson, Dean Phillips Organizations: CNN, South Carolina Gov, Florida Gov, Trump, Republican, GOP, Republican Party, NBC, Sunday, New, South, Senate, New Hampshire Republican, New Jersey Gov, Granite State, University of New, United Nations, Capitol, Democratic, Fox News, Democratic Party, Democratic National Committee, Minnesota, Biden Locations: New, Granite, New Hampshire, — Iowa, New Hampshire , Nevada, South Carolina, Iowa, North Charleston, DeSantis, Nevada’s, Nevada, Montana, New Jersey, Ohio, Florida, Granite State, University of New Hampshire, Rochester , New Hampshire, Derry , New Hampshire, Seabrook , New Hampshire
Donald Trump's 2016 primary win in New Hampshire was driven by his support among independents. The state's voting laws allow independents to vote in the GOP primary — which could give Haley a huge lift. And in the 2016 New Hampshire GOP primary, undeclared voters — or independents — largely ate it up. But while Trump led Haley among GOP voters 67%-23%, Haley bested him among undeclared voters 58%-30%. AdvertisementBut the distinct composition of the New Hampshire electorate has essentially allowed Haley to flip the script on Trump's 2016 playbook.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Nikki Haley, Haley, , Donald Trump, Trump, David Goldman, Trump's, leery Organizations: South Carolina Gov, GOP, Service, Hampshire GOP, Sway Independents, Republican, New, AP, CNN, University of New, Trump, The Washington Post Locations: New Hampshire, Hampshire, It's, , New Hampshire, University of New Hampshire, Iowa, Washington
The former South Carolina governor is pushing back hard against Trump’s bid to end the GOP primary race after only two nominating contests. She’s calling on voters to make a generational shift and is appealing especially to independents who can join the GOP primary in New Hampshire. According to a CNN poll conducted by the University of New Hampshire before DeSantis dropped out, Haley trailed Trump by 13 points in a two-person race. But like the late Arizona senator, Haley might still have a South Carolina problem. Even Haley’s most vehement supporter, New Hampshire GOP Gov.
Persons: New Hampshire CNN —, Donald Trump, ” Trump, , ” Nikki Haley’s, , Joe Biden, Haley, , Dean Phillips, Ron DeSantis, Nancy Pelosi, Biden, Trump, South Carolina Sen, Tim Scott, Doug Burgum, Vivek Ramaswamy, Scott, Haley she’d, She’s, November’s, ” Haley, That’s, DeSantis, John McCain, George W, Bush, Chris Sununu, He’s, ” Sununu, CNN’s Anderson Cooper Organizations: New Hampshire CNN, White, New Hampshire, GOP, Republican Party, Trump, South, , Democratic, Democratic National Committee, Minnesota, New Hampshire Voters, United Nations, Florida Gov, Tim Scott , North Dakota Gov, Manchester, Capitol, Republicans, CNN, University of New, Texas Gov, New, New Hampshire GOP Gov, Biden Locations: Salem, New Hampshire, New, Laconia, Granite State, South Carolina, America, Franklin , New Hampshire, — New Hampshire, , Iowa, Florida, Tim Scott , North, Trump, North Dakota, Salem , New Hampshire, University of New Hampshire, Arizona
The most recent polling on the race, published Monday by The Washington Post and Monmouth University, signals another Trump shellacking: 52% of potential primary voters said they support Trump, compared with 34% who back Haley. The poll, which was conducted prior to DeSantis dropping out, showed that just 8% of voters preferred him. “Even with a bump in the number of Democratic leaners turning out in the Republican primary, Haley is not able to catch the front-runner,” Patrick Murray, director of the independent Monmouth University Polling Institute, said in a statement. The former U.S. ambassador to the U.N. has the support of New Hampshire Gov. Though still considered a long shot, New Hampshire likely gives Haley her best chance of challenging the former president, especially since any independent or unaffiliated voter can participate in the state’s primary.
Persons: Joe Biden, Nikki Haley, “ It's, , “ We've, Ron DeSantis, Haley, DeSantis, Chris Christie, – Trump, MAGA, Democratic leaners, ” Patrick Murray, , ” Trump, Sen, Tim Scott of, Doug Burgum, Vivek Ramaswamy, Chris Sununu Organizations: Trump, GOP, Republican, South Carolina Gov, Florida Gov, The Washington Post, Monmouth University, CNN, University of New, New, New Jersey Gov, Democratic, Monmouth University Polling Institute, Republican Party, North Dakota Gov, New Hampshire, New Hampshire Gov, Republicans Locations: New, Salem , New Hampshire, Granite State, Florida, Iowa, University of New Hampshire, Granite, New Jersey, Monmouth, Laconia , New Hampshire, Tim Scott of South Carolina, North, U.S, Hampshire, New Hampshire
And DeSantis himself is no longer around as a political deflector shield as Haley heads into Tuesday’s crucial New Hampshire primary. A CNN poll released Sunday, before DeSantis withdrew from the race, found he was the first choice of 6% of likely New Hampshire GOP primary voters. Another 3% of likely GOP primary voters said they’d vote for someone else. To them, DeSantis dropping out (and quickly endorsing Trump) wouldn’t make Haley look like the safer bet, but Trump. This rally-around-Trump message likely makes Haley supporters even more of an isolated minority in the GOP firmament.
Persons: David Mark, , Ron DeSantis’s, Nikki Haley, Donald Trump, David Mark DeSantis’s, Haley, DeSantis, Trump, DeSantis’s, DeSantis —, Chris Sununu, Neil Malhotra, David Rothschild, wouldn’t, “ We’re, ” Haley, Biden, it’s, Trump . Sen, Steve Daines, Joe Biden, , Daines Organizations: Washington, CNN, Florida Gov, Republican, South, Trump, New Hampshire GOP, University of New, GOP, New Hampshire, Granite State, Trump , New, Trump , New Hampshire Gov, Stanford, Microsoft Research, , Palmetto State Republican, Trump ., Twitter, Facebook, Senate, National Republican, Committee Locations: crave, Iowa, South Carolina, New Hampshire, University of New Hampshire, Florida, MAGA, New, Granite, Trump ,, Trump , New Hampshire, Trump, isn’t, Palmetto State, Montana
Donald Trump won Iowa and wants to win New Hampshire and seal up the nomination. Nikki Haley wants to come from behind, win New Hampshire, and gain some momentum before heading to her home state of South Carolina. What matters to people in New Hampshire? So I spoke with Dante Scala, a professor of political science at the University of New Hampshire and an expert in presidential primaries and New Hampshire politics. Jane Coaston: We spoke just before the Iowa caucus and you said that you believed that Nikki Haley was in a strong second place in New Hampshire after Chris Christie’s exit from the race.
Persons: Donald Trump, Nikki Haley, Trump, they’re, Pat Buchanan, Dante Scala, Jane Coaston, Chris Christie’s Organizations: Iowa, New Hampshire, Republican Party, University of New Locations: New, South Carolina, New Hampshire, Hampshire, Iowa, New England, University of New Hampshire
Republican presidential candidate Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis speaks at a campaign event at the Chrome Horse Saloon on January 14, 2024 in Cedar Rapids, Iowa. Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis dropped out of the 2024 presidential race and endorsed front-runner Donald Trump on Sunday, two days before the New Hampshire primary. The Trump campaign said in a Sunday statement it was "honored" to receive DeSantis' endorsement, along with "so many other former presidential candidates."
Persons: Ron DeSantis, Donald Trump, , DeSantis, Trump, Joe Biden, Nikki Haley, Doug Burgum, Sen, Tim Scott, Haley Organizations: Gov, Florida Gov, New, Republican, Republican Guard, North Dakota Gov, Trump, CNN, University of New, GOP, DeSantis, Sarasota Herald, Tribune Locations: Cedar Rapids , Iowa, Florida, New Hampshire, Tallahassee , Florida, Iowa, Granite State, University of New Hampshire, Sarasota
Democratic allies of Mr. Biden have been alarmed by No Labels, worrying that any candidate it runs could siphon votes from him. “People are criticizing them because they believe whomever they offer on their ticket will hurt Joe Biden,” Mr. Phillips said after a town-hall event at a senior center in Nashua, N.H. “That’s false. “It would have to be a Joe Biden-Donald Trump rematch that shows Joe Biden is almost certain to lose,” Mr. Phillips said. Mr. Trump, at his own rally on Saturday night in Manchester, N.H., offered a mocking endorsement of Mr. Phillips. Larry Hogan of Maryland, among others, in an attempt to find a high-profile figure to lead the No Labels presidential ticket.
Persons: Dean Phillips, Nancy Jacobson, Biden, Donald J, Phillips, Mr, Joe Biden, ” Mr, , Donald Trump, Jacobson, Trump, , Joe Manchin III, West, Larry Hogan of, Hogan —, , “ Dean Phillips Organizations: Minnesota, Dean Phillips of, Democrat, Mr, Trump, Democratic, University of New, New, Republican Locations: Dean Phillips of Minnesota, Nashua, N.H, United States, America, New Hampshire, University of New Hampshire, Manchester, South Carolina, West Virginia, Larry Hogan of Maryland
CNN —The race for the New Hampshire Republican presidential primary appears to be former President Donald Trump’s to lose, according to a new CNN poll conducted by the University of New Hampshire following Trump’s 30-point win in Iowa’s caucuses last week. Trump holds 50% support among likely Republican primary voters in the Granite State, while his closest competitor, former South Carolina Gov. Likely Republican and Democratic primary voters were identified through survey questions about their intention to vote. Results among 1,210 likely Republican primary voters have an error margin of plus or minus 2.8 percentage points. Results among 838 likely Democratic primary voters have an error margin of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.
Persons: Donald Trump’s, Trump, Nikki Haley, Haley, Ron DeSantis, DeSantis, , Joe Biden, Biden, ” Biden, Dean Phillips, Marianne Williamson, Phillips, Biden hasn’t Organizations: CNN, New Hampshire Republican, University of New, Republican, South Carolina Gov, Trump, Florida Gov, GOP, Democratic, Biden, Democratic National, Minnesota, CNN New, University of New Hampshire Survey Locations: University of New Hampshire, Granite State, New Hampshire, Trump, Mexico, Russia, Ukraine, CNN New Hampshire, Hampshire
Manchester, New Hampshire CNN —Donald Trump is demanding far more than a win in Tuesday’s New Hampshire primary. That’s what we are here to tell you what we in South Carolina want,” 76-year-old Gov. It was also a clear attempt at intimidating Haley into folding her campaign if she loses Tuesday, before the race even gets to South Carolina. In the CNN poll, conducted by the University of New Hampshire, Trump has expanded his lead with 50% support among likely GOP voters while Haley stands at 39%. The former South Carolina governor suffered a similar enthusiasm gap in Iowa, and after Sunday, she has only a day to turn it around in New Hampshire.
Persons: New Hampshire CNN — Donald Trump, Nikki Haley, Trump, Haley’s, Haley, It’s, ” Trump, Henry McMaster, baying Trump, ” McMaster, Russell Fry, Mr, Donald Trump, South Carolina Sen, Tim Scott, “ I’m, ” Scott, CNN’s Dana, , , Biden, , Trumper, , Chris Sununu, credibly, “ I’ve, ” Sununu, Ron DeSantis, Bill Clinton, Sen, John McCain’s, George W, Bush, Hillary Clinton’s, Barack Obama, She’s, Joe Biden, America, Kim Jong, Nancy Pelosi, ” Haley, Judith Sheindlin, Judy, Viktor Orban, Edward Young –, Organizations: New Hampshire CNN, Republican, CNN, GOP, Republicans, Spice, . South Carolina Rep, Trump, South, Republican Gov, NBC, Carolina showboating, University of New, Florida Gov, Iowa, New Hampshire –, Capitol, Hungarian, “ YMCA ”, Village People, “ Trump Locations: Manchester, New Hampshire, Tuesday’s New Hampshire, South Carolina, Iowa, Carolina, Southern, British, ., Myrtle Beach, China, Carolinians, “ State, New Hampshire Trump’s, University of New Hampshire, Keene , New Hampshire, Brick , New Jersey
The poll, taken Tuesday through Friday, also found more registered Republicans in the state view Haley unfavorably (47%) than favorably (31%). Trump, meanwhile is viewed favorably by 76% of registered Republicans and unfavorably by just 16%. Some Haley supporters interviewed at her events are left-leaning voters who have little ideological overlap with Haley but are intent on stopping Trump. The day before, he won a rousing endorsement from South Carolina Sen. Tim Scott, whom Haley appointed to the Senate when she was governor. “I think I know what favorable territory is in South Carolina.
Persons: — Richard Anderson, he’s, Anderson, Jackson, Nikki Haley, Donald Trump, “ I’ll, she’s, , John McCain, Republicans ’, Nathan Shrader, , Haley, Trump, Corinne Pullen, Pullen, Haley’s, , ” Trump, Chris LaCivita, South Carolina Sen, Tim Scott, that’s, Dante Scala, McCain, ” Haley doesn’t, Chris Sununu, Ron DeSantis, I’m, Phil Scott, Biden, Kristen Mansharamani, Mansharamani, Haley’s caucusgoers, Amy Watson, Hollis, Emily Swanson, Jill Colvin, Joseph Frederick, Linley Sanders Organizations: CONCORD, Republican, Mount Washington, New, Republicans, New England College, GOP, CNN, University of New, Trump, Democrats, South, Senate, South Carolina, PAC, New Hampshire Gov, , Florida Gov, Vermont Gov, New Hampshire voters, Trump Republicans, AP VoteCast, Washington , Associated Press, Associated Press Locations: N.H, New, New Hampshire, University of New Hampshire, Canterbury, South Carolina, Tuesday's, Trump, Vermont, Lincoln, In Iowa, Iowa, Washington ,, Washington
The DeSantis and Haley camps each believed they would benefit if the other left the field and created an unambiguous one-on-one race with Trump. In fact, both the Trump and DeSantis campaigns believe that more of the Florida governor’s supporters will likely pick Trump. Any gain or loss for Haley among voters from DeSantis’ decision seems likely to affect the race only marginally, many GOP observers believe. Even at that point in the 2016 race, Trump had won only a cumulative 40% of the votes cast in the GOP primaries. His theory that he could peel away a meaningful number of previous Trump voters simply proved wrong.
Persons: New Hampshire CNN —, Ron DeSantis, Nikki Haley, Donald Trump, DeSantis, Haley, Trump, Joe Biden, Haley doesn’t, Biden, winnowing, Whit Ayres, ” Ayres, Texas Sen, Ted Cruz, George Conway, “ Trump, David Kochel, , he’s, , Trump’s, , Alex Stroman, Trump’s MAGA, MAGA, CNN DeSantis, “ DeSantis, Scott Reed, Bob Dole’s, John Connally, suburbanites, Vivek Ramaswamy, Donald Trump’s, ” Stroman, Jean Carroll, Mike Murphy, – Haley, Sen, Marco Rubio, she’s, Mike Dennehy, John McCain’s, Bill Kristol, Kristol, ” Kristol, Matt Gaetz, Ginger Heald, Ayres, Grover Cleveland, Republican Benjamin Harrison, Reed, Dole, Mike Pence, Pence, ” Reed, “ He’s Organizations: New Hampshire CNN, Florida Gov, GOP, South Carolina Gov, Republican, Trump, CNN, New Hampshire, Democratic, South, University of New Hampshire, Republicans, Texas, nonurban Whites, The, South Carolina Republican Party, Edison Research, Trump Trump, Biden, New Hampshire GOP, Florida Republican, Merrimack Republican, Committee, DeSantis Locations: Manchester, New Hampshire, Florida, South Carolina, New, Iowa, DeSantis, As, Hampshire, New York, Trump, The Florida, Trump’s, Texas, Charleston, Polk County, Trump’s Manchester , New Hampshire, Ukraine, Israel,
New Hampshire Primary: Wake-Up Call or Last Call?
  + stars: | 2024-01-19 | by ( Susan Milligan | ) www.usnews.com   time to read: +7 min
Should Trump's lead hold, says Andrew Smith, director of the University of New Hampshire poll, Trump will become the first candidate – aside from sitting presidents – to win both the Iowa caucuses and the New Hampshire primary. "We're so far past the days when voters nationally were really just waking up" to the campaign debates in the early weeks of a presidential election year, says Dante Scala, a University of New Hampshire professor and author of the book "Stormy Weather: The New Hampshire Primary and Presidential Politics." New Hampshire GOP voters, however, are a different breed of Republicans, Smith says, focusing more on fiscal conservatism and small government. Haley has 36% support and DeSantis 6% backing among primary voters. Trump seems to think so, too: He has focused much of his vitriol in the waning days of the New Hampshire campaign on Haley.
Persons: Bill Clinton, Sen, John McCain's, Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Donald Trump, aren't, isn't, Marianne Williamson, Dean Phillips, Trump, Nikki Haley, Ron DeSantis, Andrew Smith, , Haley, Williamson, Phillips, Biden, Dante Scala, Smith, Chris Christie, Vivek Ramaswamy, Christie, Ramaswamy, DeSantis, Michael Binder, Binder, He's, Barack Hussein Obama Organizations: Hillary Clinton Democratic, Democratic, Democratic National Committee, New Hampshire, Gov, Florida Gov, University of New, New, Biden, Trump –, GOP, New Hampshire GOP, Independents, Trump, New Jersey Gov, Saint Anselm College Survey Center's New Hampshire Institute of Politics, United Nations, Suffolk University, Boston Globe, University of North, Palmetto State, Republican Party, Social Security Locations: New Hampshire, New, University of New Hampshire, Iowa, Hawkeye, New Jersey, Boston, University of North Florida, South Carolina, Palmetto, Portsmouth
It's a constant source of frustration for the Minnesota congressman challenging President Joe Biden for the Democratic nomination. Sure, Phillips is on the ballot in New Hampshire, which holds its primary Tuesday. Biden won't debate Phillips, which is standard behavior for incumbent presidents with primary opponents. And the Biden campaign declined to weigh in on Phillips’ candidacy – also standard for incumbents not facing serious threats from challenges within their own parties. Democratic activists are mounting a write-in campaign for Biden.
Persons: Dean Phillips, It's, Joe Biden, Phillips, Biden –, Donald Trump –, , Biden, It's Biden, irks Phillips, Donald Trump, Jim Demers, – Phillips, it's, doesn't, He's, Democrats –, Marianne Williamson, Elon Musk, Bill Ackman Organizations: Democratic, North Carolina Democrats, Democratic National Committee isn't, Biden, Trump, Democrats, GOP, CNN, New Hampshire Democratic, Medicare, Republicans, Democratic Party, People, American Research Group, New Hampshire –, University of New, Twitter, Cabinet Locations: Minnesota, Florida, New Hampshire, Granite State, , Mexico, United States, Israel, South Carolina, University of New Hampshire
The final poll from Iowa’s premier pollster, Ann Selzer, has Trump at 48% followed by former South Carolina Gov. If the final outcome Monday night mirrors the poll, Trump will have won the highest Iowa GOP caucus vote share for a non-incumbent ever. A Haley win in the first primary race in the nation would indicate that Trump is not invincible. He did more than 5 points better than where his final Iowa poll had him. (His 28-point margin over Bradley was the same as the final poll found, as both Bradley and Gore won some undecided voters.)
Persons: Donald Trump, Ann Selzer, Nikki Haley, Ron DeSantis, Trump, , They’re, Haley, Chris Christie –, George W, Bush, didn’t, Steve Forbes, John McCain, Patrick Buchanan, Bob Dole, Buchanan, McCain, Gary Hart, Walter Mondale, Hart, Haley isn’t, DeSantis, Al Gore, Gore, Bill Bradley, Bradley, Trump . Gore, Dole Organizations: CNN, Trump, South Carolina Gov, Florida Gov, Iowa GOP, Granite State, New, New Jersey Gov, University of New, Dole, Democratic, Republican, Trump . Locations: Iowa, New Hampshire, Granite, New Jersey, University of New Hampshire, Hampshire, Granite State, Trump, South Carolina, Florida
No one behind in the national polls by as much as Haley at this point in the primary calendar has ever ended up winning the nomination. A late October Des Moines Register poll had Trump at 43% to Haley and DeSantis each at 16% in Iowa. They both went on to win Iowa. Haley, however, doesn’t need to win Iowa to secure the GOP nomination. Hart’s overperformance in Iowa was a big reason he went to win the New Hampshire primary in 1984.
Persons: CNN — We’ve, Donald Trump, Nikki Haley, Haley, She’s, Ron DeSantis, Trump, DeSantis, It’s, Republican George H.W, Republican George H.W . Bush, Dick Gephardt, Gary Hart, Walter Mondale, Hart’s, Republican Pat Buchanan, Hart, it’s, Chris Christie, Christie, Mondale, Jesse Jackson, John Glenn, George McGovern –, Trump’s Organizations: CNN, Republican, South, Trump, Florida Gov, Des Moines Register, Iowa, GOP, Hawkeye State, Granite State, New, University of New, Winthrop University Locations: South Carolina, Florida, Iowa, New Hampshire, That’s, Republican George H.W ., Hampshire, Granite, Granite State, University of New Hampshire, New Jersey, Haley’s
Should Trump Believe the Polls?
  + stars: | 2023-12-01 | by ( Lauren Camera | ) www.usnews.com   time to read: +11 min
Former President Donald Trump is a polls guy. He’s currently languishing in fourth place, according to polls, behind Trump, Florida Gov. “In 2016, we experienced the phenomenon of the silent Trump voter, those who were secretly for Trump but feared being ostracized if they said so publicly,” he wrote. “A majority of the party is Maybe Trump,” Ayres says. A separate New Hampshire primary poll from Monmouth University and The Washington Post taken Nov. 9-14 shows similar results.
Persons: Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton, Trump, Bradley, , Tom Bradley, , Adam Geller, , MAGA, Chris Christie’s, Christie, ” Christie, Mitt Romney, Mike Huckabee, Newt Gingrich, Sen, Rick Santorum, Ben Carson, Texas Sen, Ted Cruz, hasn’t, He’s, Ron DeSantis, Nikki Haley, they’re, South Carolina Sen, Tim Scott, Vivek Ramaswamy, Mark McKinnon, George W, Bush, John McCain, he’d, Whit Ayres, ” Ayres, Joe Biden, Haley, Ramaswamy, Civiqs, DeSantis, Jamie Dimon, Ayres, Jesus Organizations: White, Los Angeles, GOP, Capitol, National Research Inc, Trump, New, New Jersey Gov, Granite State Republicans, Donald Trump View, Arkansas Gov, MAGA Republican, Trump , Florida Gov, South Carolina Gov, South Carolina, Republican, North Star Opinion Research, Republican Party, University of New Hampshire Survey Center, Monmouth University, The Washington, Koch Locations: California, , New Hampshire, New Jersey, Iowa, Trump, Texas, Trump , Florida, Georgia, Hampshire, Tuscaloosa , Alabama, Florida
For an incumbent president, primary races -- the state-by-state competitions that nominate a political party's official presidential candidate -- are normally a perfunctory affair. Pro-Biden Democrats' volunteer-focused effort, with just a $100,000 budget, will encourage primary voters to put Biden's name on the New Hampshire ballot. Lyndon B. Johnson, then the Democratic incumbent, shunned the New Hampshire primary in 1968 due to over-confidence, only to see an insurgent campaign from Minnesota, U.S. Biden write-in organizers have largely settled on asking voters to write in "Joe Biden," but believe that other names like "President Biden" and "President Biden and Vice President Harris" satisfy a state law that says to count the vote if the reasonable intent of the voter is clear. "They're gonna use this as a way to say, look, we are good Democrats and organized this to protect President Biden," Smith said.
Persons: Joe Biden, Jonathan Ernst, Joe Biden's, Ro Khanna, Dean Phillips, Phillips, Khanna, it's, Biden, Andrew Smith, Lyndon B, Johnson, Eugene McCarthy, PHILLIPS, Marianne Williamson, Jeff Weaver, Bernie Sanders, Mickey Mouse, Harris, Dave Watters, Sanders, Elizabeth Warren, Pete Buttigieg, Barack Obama, Smith, Jarrett Renshaw, Heather Timmons, Alistair Bell Organizations: Portsmouth Port Authority, REUTERS, Biden Democrats, New, Democratic Party, Biden doesn't, The University of New, Democratic, U.S, Thomson Locations: Portsmouth, Portsmouth , New Hampshire, U.S, California, Minnesota, New Hampshire, The University of New Hampshire, Vietnam, South Carolina, United States
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